Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (27.5%) and 13°C (25.5%) as London's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast pinpointing a mild high near 12-13°C under high-pressure influence from the Azores anticyclone, which suppresses cloud cover and allows solar heating. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a tight spread around this range, with mean projections at 12.4°C, though slight model divergences arise from potential northerly gusts capping warmth at 12°C or southerly flow pushing to 13°C. Historical March 27 averages hover at 11.5°C, but recent Atlantic warmth advection elevates odds above 11°C (14%). Key uncertainty stems from frontal timing, with updates due tomorrow potentially shifting trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on March 27?
Highest temperature in London on March 27?
12°C 28%
13°C 26%
14°C 19%
11°C 14%
$11,141 Vol.
$11,141 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
14%
12°C
28%
13°C
26%
14°C
19%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
12°C 28%
13°C 26%
14°C 19%
11°C 14%
$11,141 Vol.
$11,141 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
14%
12°C
28%
13°C
26%
14°C
19%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (27.5%) and 13°C (25.5%) as London's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast pinpointing a mild high near 12-13°C under high-pressure influence from the Azores anticyclone, which suppresses cloud cover and allows solar heating. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a tight spread around this range, with mean projections at 12.4°C, though slight model divergences arise from potential northerly gusts capping warmth at 12°C or southerly flow pushing to 13°C. Historical March 27 averages hover at 11.5°C, but recent Atlantic warmth advection elevates odds above 11°C (14%). Key uncertainty stems from frontal timing, with updates due tomorrow potentially shifting trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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