Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (75% implied probability) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the mid-70s°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest. This pattern, evident in overnight forecast updates, promotes sunny skies and reduced marine layer influence, allowing efficient solar heating inland despite coastal cooling potential. Recent observations show mid-April temperatures trending 2-3°F above seasonal averages (historical LAX high ~72°F), with no major disruptions like storms. National Weather Service guidance anticipates clear conditions; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution using official LAX airport data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 80%
70-71°F 12%
68-69°F 5%
66-67°F 3.3%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
12%
72°F or higher
80%
72°F or higher 80%
70-71°F 12%
68-69°F 5%
66-67°F 3.3%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
12%
72°F or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (75% implied probability) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the mid-70s°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest. This pattern, evident in overnight forecast updates, promotes sunny skies and reduced marine layer influence, allowing efficient solar heating inland despite coastal cooling potential. Recent observations show mid-April temperatures trending 2-3°F above seasonal averages (historical LAX high ~72°F), with no major disruptions like storms. National Weather Service guidance anticipates clear conditions; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution using official LAX airport data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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