Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall from a lingering low-pressure system, is moderating daytime heating and positioning 32°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 45.5%. Official IMD observations and forecasts show recent highs near 33–34°C amid high humidity and precipitation, with similar conditions expected for August 30 limiting peaks. This aligns with typical August climatology where active southwest monsoon flow suppresses maxima relative to clearer periods. Updated model runs and ongoing rain chances support the tight clustering around 31–33°C while highlighting uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 30 de agosto?
32°C 45%
33°C or higher 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
45%
33°C or higher
28%
32°C 45%
33°C or higher 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
45%
33°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall from a lingering low-pressure system, is moderating daytime heating and positioning 32°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 45.5%. Official IMD observations and forecasts show recent highs near 33–34°C amid high humidity and precipitation, with similar conditions expected for August 30 limiting peaks. This aligns with typical August climatology where active southwest monsoon flow suppresses maxima relative to clearer periods. Updated model runs and ongoing rain chances support the tight clustering around 31–33°C while highlighting uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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