Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint a daytime high near 12°C in Milan on March 22, fueled by a weak Atlantic front bringing cloudy skies and light precipitation, anchoring trader sentiment with 35% implied odds on that outcome. Supporting 11°C at 22% and 13°C at 13%, recent ARPA Lombardia observations show persistent lows in the 5-7°C range overnight, limiting diurnal warming amid northerly winds and seasonal averages of 12-13°C for late March. Model spread remains tight at ±2°C through 18Z runs, but any shift toward sunnier conditions could boost 14°C probabilities; historical data confirms rare extremes beyond 16°C this date. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 22 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 22 de marzo?
12°C 31%
11°C 21.6%
13°C 15%
14°C 10%
$14,825 Vol.
$14,825 Vol.
8°C o menos
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
6%
11°C
22%
12°C
31%
13°C
15%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C o más
3%
12°C 31%
11°C 21.6%
13°C 15%
14°C 10%
$14,825 Vol.
$14,825 Vol.
8°C o menos
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
6%
11°C
22%
12°C
31%
13°C
15%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint a daytime high near 12°C in Milan on March 22, fueled by a weak Atlantic front bringing cloudy skies and light precipitation, anchoring trader sentiment with 35% implied odds on that outcome. Supporting 11°C at 22% and 13°C at 13%, recent ARPA Lombardia observations show persistent lows in the 5-7°C range overnight, limiting diurnal warming amid northerly winds and seasonal averages of 12-13°C for late March. Model spread remains tight at ±2°C through 18Z runs, but any shift toward sunnier conditions could boost 14°C probabilities; historical data confirms rare extremes beyond 16°C this date. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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