Trader consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s August 16 maximum due to short-range forecast guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which indicate mostly sunny skies, light westerly flow, and afternoon highs stabilizing near 32–34°C under a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations show coastal temperatures tracking 1–2°C above seasonal normals amid weak land-sea breeze circulation, while ensemble spreads remain narrow for the 48-hour window. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect slightly drier mid-level air, though persistent humidity near 60% and limited mixing cap further intensification. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next high-resolution model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range around the market-implied peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 16 de agosto?
33°C 65%
32°C 17%
34°C 14%
31°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
17%
33°C
65%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 65%
32°C 17%
34°C 14%
31°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$111 Vol.
4%
32°C
$103 Vol.
17%
33°C
$262 Vol.
65%
34°C
$198 Vol.
14%
35°C
$133 Vol.
3%
36°C
$110 Vol.
1%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s August 16 maximum due to short-range forecast guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which indicate mostly sunny skies, light westerly flow, and afternoon highs stabilizing near 32–34°C under a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations show coastal temperatures tracking 1–2°C above seasonal normals amid weak land-sea breeze circulation, while ensemble spreads remain narrow for the 48-hour window. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect slightly drier mid-level air, though persistent humidity near 60% and limited mixing cap further intensification. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next high-resolution model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range around the market-implied peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$947Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s August 16 maximum due to short-range forecast guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which indicate mostly sunny skies, light westerly flow, and afternoon highs stabilizing near 32–34°C under a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations show coastal temperatures tracking 1–2°C above seasonal normals amid weak land-sea breeze circulation, while ensemble spreads remain narrow for the 48-hour window. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect slightly drier mid-level air, though persistent humidity near 60% and limited mixing cap further intensification. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next high-resolution model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range around the market-implied peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$947Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s August 16 maximum due to short-range forecast guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which indicate mostly sunny skies, light westerly flow, and afternoon highs stabilizing near 32–34°C under a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations show coastal temperatures tracking 1–2°C above seasonal normals amid weak land-sea breeze circulation, while ensemble spreads remain narrow for the 48-hour window. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect slightly drier mid-level air, though persistent humidity near 60% and limited mixing cap further intensification. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next high-resolution model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range around the market-implied peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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