Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 17-20°C for Tel Aviv on March 27, with 17°C edging ahead at 30.5%, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18°C amid a model spread of 2-3°C. Israel's Meteorological Service guidance points to 19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover, while historical late-March averages hover at 19.5°C. Recent GFS updates highlight diurnally variable onshore flow suppressing 20°C+ outcomes, differentiating lower probabilities for 21°C or higher, though slight warming from high-pressure ridging could still push toward 20°C if skies clear by afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 27 de marzo?
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
19°C 23%
20°C 21%
13°C o menos
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
10%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C o más
2%
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
19°C 23%
20°C 21%
13°C o menos
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
10%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 17-20°C for Tel Aviv on March 27, with 17°C edging ahead at 30.5%, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18°C amid a model spread of 2-3°C. Israel's Meteorological Service guidance points to 19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover, while historical late-March averages hover at 19.5°C. Recent GFS updates highlight diurnally variable onshore flow suppressing 20°C+ outcomes, differentiating lower probabilities for 21°C or higher, though slight warming from high-pressure ridging could still push toward 20°C if skies clear by afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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