**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support. The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Busan el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Busan el 11 de septiembre?
19°C 100.0%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$891 Vol.
$891 Vol.
11 sep 2026
15°C o menos
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o más
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$891 Vol.
$891 Vol.
11 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$35 Vol.
No
16°C
$35 Vol.
No
17°C
$30 Vol.
No
18°C
$135 Vol.
No
19°C
$159 Vol.
Sí
20°C
$141 Vol.
No
21°C
$256 Vol.
No
22°C
$25 Vol.
No
23°C
$25 Vol.
No
24°C
$25 Vol.
No
25°C o más
$25 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support.
The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$891Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support.
The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$891Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support. The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes