Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Busan for the night of September 12–13, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered near 18–20°C. This consensus, with some runs showing 18°C at 06:00 local time and others 19–20°C, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C, 18°C, and nearby bins while assigning meaningful weight to 15°C or below amid typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or moisture have kept temperatures near seasonal norms, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the expected calm overnight regime. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Busan el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Busan el 13 de septiembre?
25°C o más 78%
15°C o menos 55%
16°C 40%
22°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
15°C o menos
55%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
23%
19°C
30%
20°C
28%
21°C
24%
22°C
40%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C o más
78%
25°C o más 78%
15°C o menos 55%
16°C 40%
22°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$0 Vol.
55%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
28%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C o más
$0 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Busan for the night of September 12–13, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered near 18–20°C. This consensus, with some runs showing 18°C at 06:00 local time and others 19–20°C, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C, 18°C, and nearby bins while assigning meaningful weight to 15°C or below amid typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or moisture have kept temperatures near seasonal norms, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the expected calm overnight regime. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Busan for the night of September 12–13, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered near 18–20°C. This consensus, with some runs showing 18°C at 06:00 local time and others 19–20°C, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C, 18°C, and nearby bins while assigning meaningful weight to 15°C or below amid typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or moisture have kept temperatures near seasonal norms, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the expected calm overnight regime. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Busan for the night of September 12–13, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered near 18–20°C. This consensus, with some runs showing 18°C at 06:00 local time and others 19–20°C, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C, 18°C, and nearby bins while assigning meaningful weight to 15°C or below amid typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or moisture have kept temperatures near seasonal norms, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the expected calm overnight regime. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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