Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF support a daily minimum near 3°C in Helsinki on September 12, driven by clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and a stable boundary layer. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 3°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but recent model runs show cooler-than-normal air masses and dew points favoring the lower threshold. A significant warm-air advection shift or increased cloud cover before dawn could push readings above 4°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 12 de septiembre?
3°C 99.4%
2°C o menos <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
2°C o menos
<1%
3°C
99%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C o más
<1%
3°C 99.4%
2°C o menos <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
2°C o menos
$48 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$159 Vol.
99%
4°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
12°C o más
$38 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF support a daily minimum near 3°C in Helsinki on September 12, driven by clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and a stable boundary layer. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 3°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but recent model runs show cooler-than-normal air masses and dew points favoring the lower threshold. A significant warm-air advection shift or increased cloud cover before dawn could push readings above 4°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,233Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF support a daily minimum near 3°C in Helsinki on September 12, driven by clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and a stable boundary layer. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 3°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but recent model runs show cooler-than-normal air masses and dew points favoring the lower threshold. A significant warm-air advection shift or increased cloud cover before dawn could push readings above 4°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,233Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF support a daily minimum near 3°C in Helsinki on September 12, driven by clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and a stable boundary layer. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 3°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but recent model runs show cooler-than-normal air masses and dew points favoring the lower threshold. A significant warm-air advection shift or increased cloud cover before dawn could push readings above 4°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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