Recent short-range model runs for Moscow show a mild southerly flow maintaining overnight lows near 15–17 °C on September 1, producing closely matched market probabilities near 45 % for both 19 °C-or-higher and 9 °C-or-below outcomes. Key differentiators include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could allow clearer skies and greater temperature drops. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection, keeping specific-degree contracts (11–17 °C) clustered around 25 % each. Updated guidance from the next model cycle will likely tighten these ranges before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 1 de septiembre?
19°C or higher 89%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C or below
43%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
89%
19°C or higher 89%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C or below
$78 Vol.
43%
10°C
$0 Vol.
50%
11°C
$0 Vol.
50%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$130 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs for Moscow show a mild southerly flow maintaining overnight lows near 15–17 °C on September 1, producing closely matched market probabilities near 45 % for both 19 °C-or-higher and 9 °C-or-below outcomes. Key differentiators include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could allow clearer skies and greater temperature drops. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection, keeping specific-degree contracts (11–17 °C) clustered around 25 % each. Updated guidance from the next model cycle will likely tighten these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$208Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs for Moscow show a mild southerly flow maintaining overnight lows near 15–17 °C on September 1, producing closely matched market probabilities near 45 % for both 19 °C-or-higher and 9 °C-or-below outcomes. Key differentiators include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could allow clearer skies and greater temperature drops. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection, keeping specific-degree contracts (11–17 °C) clustered around 25 % each. Updated guidance from the next model cycle will likely tighten these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$208Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs for Moscow show a mild southerly flow maintaining overnight lows near 15–17 °C on September 1, producing closely matched market probabilities near 45 % for both 19 °C-or-higher and 9 °C-or-below outcomes. Key differentiators include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could allow clearer skies and greater temperature drops. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection, keeping specific-degree contracts (11–17 °C) clustered around 25 % each. Updated guidance from the next model cycle will likely tighten these ranges before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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