São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 22 de agosto?
14°C o más 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$1,398 Vol.
$1,398 Vol.
22 ago 2026
4°C o menos
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C o más
Sí
14°C o más 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$1,398 Vol.
$1,398 Vol.
22 ago 2026
4°C o menos
$137 Vol.
No
5°C
$127 Vol.
No
6°C
$132 Vol.
No
7°C
$147 Vol.
No
8°C
$85 Vol.
No
9°C
$187 Vol.
No
10°C
$26 Vol.
No
11°C
$63 Vol.
No
12°C
$350 Vol.
No
13°C
$110 Vol.
No
14°C o más
$34 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volumen
$1,398Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,398Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes