Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 21 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 21 de septiembre?
6°C o menos 49%
10°C 46%
9°C 37%
11°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
6°C o menos
49%
7°C
17%
8°C
9%
9°C
37%
10°C
26%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o más
<1%
6°C o menos 49%
10°C 46%
9°C 37%
11°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
6°C o menos
$0 Vol.
49%
7°C
$0 Vol.
17%
8°C
$0 Vol.
9%
9°C
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$13 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
16°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$283Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$283Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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