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¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

Market icon

¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

dic 31

dic 31

$117,325,658 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$117,325,658 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$7,928,425 Vol.

1%

30 de junio

$4,034,042 Vol.

6%

31 de diciembre

$1,157,407 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$117,325,658
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$117,325,658
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 44%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" ha generado $117.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.