Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
$117,325,658 Vol.
30 de abril
1%
30 de junio
6%
31 de diciembre
44%
$117,325,658 Vol.
30 de abril
1%
30 de junio
6%
31 de diciembre
44%
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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