Resident Evil holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% as the likely #1 earner this weekend, reflecting its dominant presale momentum, favorable release positioning, and limited direct competition from other wide openers. Traders appear to be pricing in robust opening-weekend tracking and franchise appeal, while the cluster of Film A, Film B, Film C, and Other at 50% each signals a crowded field of holdovers or limited releases without clear breakout potential. Avengers: Endgame Encore trails at 27.5%, consistent with the typical rapid drop-off for reissues, and lower-probability titles like Primetime and Heart of the Beast sit near the bottom given modest tracking and narrower distribution. Upcoming Friday chart updates and early audience scores will likely serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated#1 Box Office This Weekend?
#1 Box Office This Weekend?
Resident Evil 70%
Avengers: Endgame Encore 28%
Primetime 2.7%
Heart of the Beast 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Avengers: Endgame Encore
28%
Resident Evil
70%
Primetime
3%
Heart of the Beast
2%
Resident Evil 70%
Avengers: Endgame Encore 28%
Primetime 2.7%
Heart of the Beast 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Avengers: Endgame Encore
$734 Vol.
28%
Resident Evil
$1,351 Vol.
70%
Primetime
$364 Vol.
3%
Heart of the Beast
$281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Resident Evil holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% as the likely #1 earner this weekend, reflecting its dominant presale momentum, favorable release positioning, and limited direct competition from other wide openers. Traders appear to be pricing in robust opening-weekend tracking and franchise appeal, while the cluster of Film A, Film B, Film C, and Other at 50% each signals a crowded field of holdovers or limited releases without clear breakout potential. Avengers: Endgame Encore trails at 27.5%, consistent with the typical rapid drop-off for reissues, and lower-probability titles like Primetime and Heart of the Beast sit near the bottom given modest tracking and narrower distribution. Upcoming Friday chart updates and early audience scores will likely serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in sentiment.
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$2,729End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Resident Evil holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% as the likely #1 earner this weekend, reflecting its dominant presale momentum, favorable release positioning, and limited direct competition from other wide openers. Traders appear to be pricing in robust opening-weekend tracking and franchise appeal, while the cluster of Film A, Film B, Film C, and Other at 50% each signals a crowded field of holdovers or limited releases without clear breakout potential. Avengers: Endgame Encore trails at 27.5%, consistent with the typical rapid drop-off for reissues, and lower-probability titles like Primetime and Heart of the Beast sit near the bottom given modest tracking and narrower distribution. Upcoming Friday chart updates and early audience scores will likely serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in sentiment.
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,729End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resident Evil holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% as the likely #1 earner this weekend, reflecting its dominant presale momentum, favorable release positioning, and limited direct competition from other wide openers. Traders appear to be pricing in robust opening-weekend tracking and franchise appeal, while the cluster of Film A, Film B, Film C, and Other at 50% each signals a crowded field of holdovers or limited releases without clear breakout potential. Avengers: Endgame Encore trails at 27.5%, consistent with the typical rapid drop-off for reissues, and lower-probability titles like Primetime and Heart of the Beast sit near the bottom given modest tracking and narrower distribution. Upcoming Friday chart updates and early audience scores will likely serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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