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icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Sep 29

Sep 29

Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 94%

Crew Girl: Season 1 12%

Jo Koy: Blue in the Face 12%

A Different World: Season 1 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 94%

Crew Girl: Season 1 12%

Jo Koy: Blue in the Face 12%

A Different World: Season 1 9%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1

Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1

$377 Vol.

94%

icon for Crew Girl: Season 1

Crew Girl: Season 1

$9 Vol.

12%

icon for A Different World: Season 1

A Different World: Season 1

$9 Vol.

9%

icon for Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1

Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1

$9 Vol.

9%

icon for Doc: Season 2

Doc: Season 2

$9 Vol.

9%

icon for Jo Koy: Blue in the Face

Jo Koy: Blue in the Face

$13 Vol.

12%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 holds a commanding 92.5% market-implied probability due to its September 17 global Netflix premiere as the latest Ryan Murphy and Ian Brennan anthology entry. The eight-episode season, starring Ella Beatty as the accused 1892 axe murderer alongside Charlie Hunnam and Vicky Krieps, delivered 12.1 million views in its first four days and quickly claimed the No. 1 spot on worldwide Top 10 charts. This performance mirrors prior Monster installments and benefits from strong pre-release buzz around its shift to a female subject and Victorian-era setting. Traders see limited room for an upset unless a major new release surges or the show’s mixed 39% Rotten Tomatoes score triggers faster audience drop-off than expected in the final days of the tracking week.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$426
End Date
Sep 29, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 holds a commanding 92.5% market-implied probability due to its September 17 global Netflix premiere as the latest Ryan Murphy and Ian Brennan anthology entry. The eight-episode season, starring Ella Beatty as the accused 1892 axe murderer alongside Charlie Hunnam and Vicky Krieps, delivered 12.1 million views in its first four days and quickly claimed the No. 1 spot on worldwide Top 10 charts. This performance mirrors prior Monster installments and benefits from strong pre-release buzz around its shift to a female subject and Victorian-era setting. Traders see limited room for an upset unless a major new release surges or the show’s mixed 39% Rotten Tomatoes score triggers faster audience drop-off than expected in the final days of the tracking week.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$426
End Date
Sep 29, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Related

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Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

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icon for Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?

75%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" at 98%, followed by "Crew Girl: Season 1" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Crew Girl: Season 1" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.