**Strong opening weekend momentum for the Zach Cregger-directed Resident Evil reboot is anchoring trader expectations for a mid-range domestic finish by October 31.** The film debuted to a franchise-best $60 million domestically (well above pre-release tracking of $40–50 million) on the back of glowing reviews, a 95%+ Rotten Tomatoes score, and broad appeal among horror fans and gamers, fueled by Cregger’s track record with *Barbarian* and *Weapons*. After five days it has reached roughly $72 million, but horror titles typically post sharp drops after the first weekend, limiting multiplier potential into late October. This dynamic explains why the market clusters most probability around the $150–180 million bins while still leaving room for variance based on second-weekend hold and word-of-mouth. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming weekend performance and any sustained premium-format play before wider competition arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m 41%
160 - 170m 15%
190 - 200m 15%
200m+ 15%
<150m
14%
150 - 160m
41%
160 - 170m
15%
170 - 180m
14%
180 - 190m
14%
190 - 200m
15%
200m+
15%
150 - 160m 41%
160 - 170m 15%
190 - 200m 15%
200m+ 15%
<150m
14%
150 - 160m
41%
160 - 170m
15%
170 - 180m
14%
180 - 190m
14%
190 - 200m
15%
200m+
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including October 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including October 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...**Strong opening weekend momentum for the Zach Cregger-directed Resident Evil reboot is anchoring trader expectations for a mid-range domestic finish by October 31.** The film debuted to a franchise-best $60 million domestically (well above pre-release tracking of $40–50 million) on the back of glowing reviews, a 95%+ Rotten Tomatoes score, and broad appeal among horror fans and gamers, fueled by Cregger’s track record with *Barbarian* and *Weapons*. After five days it has reached roughly $72 million, but horror titles typically post sharp drops after the first weekend, limiting multiplier potential into late October. This dynamic explains why the market clusters most probability around the $150–180 million bins while still leaving room for variance based on second-weekend hold and word-of-mouth. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming weekend performance and any sustained premium-format play before wider competition arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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