Recent August inflation of 1.7%—the lowest in 14 months and matching central bank REM survey expectations—has reinforced trader focus on Argentina’s disinflation path under fiscal austerity and peso stability. With September forecasts clustered near 1.8%, the near-even split between the 1.6–1.8% and 1.9–2.1% bins captures uncertainty over whether the trend extends or faces modest upside from regulated prices, seasonal food volatility, or exchange-rate pressures. Core inflation held at 1.8% last month while annual rates eased to 33.5%, and analysts’ 2026 projections remain near 30%. Market-implied odds thus embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued moderation tempered by risks from thin reserves and weak growth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - September
Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
1.9 to 2.1% 48%
1.6 to 1.8% 42%
1.0 to 1.2% 7.4%
1.3 to 1.5% 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
1%
1.0 to 1.2%
7%
1.3 to 1.5%
6%
1.6 to 1.8%
42%
1.9 to 2.1%
48%
2.2 to 2.4%
<1%
2.5 to 2.7%
1%
2.8%+
1%
1.9 to 2.1% 48%
1.6 to 1.8% 42%
1.0 to 1.2% 7.4%
1.3 to 1.5% 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
$163 Vol.
1%
1.0 to 1.2%
$150 Vol.
7%
1.3 to 1.5%
$138 Vol.
6%
1.6 to 1.8%
$139 Vol.
42%
1.9 to 2.1%
$725 Vol.
48%
2.2 to 2.4%
$150 Vol.
<1%
2.5 to 2.7%
$156 Vol.
1%
2.8%+
$170 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Recent August inflation of 1.7%—the lowest in 14 months and matching central bank REM survey expectations—has reinforced trader focus on Argentina’s disinflation path under fiscal austerity and peso stability. With September forecasts clustered near 1.8%, the near-even split between the 1.6–1.8% and 1.9–2.1% bins captures uncertainty over whether the trend extends or faces modest upside from regulated prices, seasonal food volatility, or exchange-rate pressures. Core inflation held at 1.8% last month while annual rates eased to 33.5%, and analysts’ 2026 projections remain near 30%. Market-implied odds thus embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued moderation tempered by risks from thin reserves and weak growth.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,791End Date
Oct 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Recent August inflation of 1.7%—the lowest in 14 months and matching central bank REM survey expectations—has reinforced trader focus on Argentina’s disinflation path under fiscal austerity and peso stability. With September forecasts clustered near 1.8%, the near-even split between the 1.6–1.8% and 1.9–2.1% bins captures uncertainty over whether the trend extends or faces modest upside from regulated prices, seasonal food volatility, or exchange-rate pressures. Core inflation held at 1.8% last month while annual rates eased to 33.5%, and analysts’ 2026 projections remain near 30%. Market-implied odds thus embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued moderation tempered by risks from thin reserves and weak growth.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Volume
$1,791End Date
Oct 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August inflation of 1.7%—the lowest in 14 months and matching central bank REM survey expectations—has reinforced trader focus on Argentina’s disinflation path under fiscal austerity and peso stability. With September forecasts clustered near 1.8%, the near-even split between the 1.6–1.8% and 1.9–2.1% bins captures uncertainty over whether the trend extends or faces modest upside from regulated prices, seasonal food volatility, or exchange-rate pressures. Core inflation held at 1.8% last month while annual rates eased to 33.5%, and analysts’ 2026 projections remain near 30%. Market-implied odds thus embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued moderation tempered by risks from thin reserves and weak growth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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