Recent April 2026 Core CPI data, which rose 2.8% year over year against 2.7% expectations and marked the sharpest increase since September 2025, anchors trader expectations for the May release due tomorrow. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May Core CPI YoY at 2.82%, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 2.8% and supporting modest upside risk to 2.9%. Persistent shelter and services inflation, alongside the prior month’s 0.4% monthly core gain, sustain this clustering while professional forecasts from the Philadelphia Fed SPF project a 2.9% annual pace for 2026 overall. The distribution of probabilities around 2.8–2.9% reflects the tight range between confirmed momentum and the potential for modest cooling in core goods.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCore CPI YoY - May 2026
2.8% 54%
2.9% 31%
3.0% 5.8%
3.1% 4.3%
≤2.4%
1%
2.5%
3%
2.6%
3%
2.7%
3%
2.8%
54%
2.9%
31%
3.0%
6%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
3%
≥3.3%
3%
2.8% 54%
2.9% 31%
3.0% 5.8%
3.1% 4.3%
≤2.4%
1%
2.5%
3%
2.6%
3%
2.7%
3%
2.8%
54%
2.9%
31%
3.0%
6%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
3%
≥3.3%
3%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 Core CPI data, which rose 2.8% year over year against 2.7% expectations and marked the sharpest increase since September 2025, anchors trader expectations for the May release due tomorrow. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May Core CPI YoY at 2.82%, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 2.8% and supporting modest upside risk to 2.9%. Persistent shelter and services inflation, alongside the prior month’s 0.4% monthly core gain, sustain this clustering while professional forecasts from the Philadelphia Fed SPF project a 2.9% annual pace for 2026 overall. The distribution of probabilities around 2.8–2.9% reflects the tight range between confirmed momentum and the potential for modest cooling in core goods.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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