Strong AI demand from hyperscalers and enterprise training workloads has kept NVIDIA B200 supply constrained through May 2026, with industry backlogs estimated near 3.6 million units and production allocations largely committed into mid-year. Cloud rental rates reflected this tightness, spanning roughly $2.25–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with on-demand averages near $5–$6 and spot or reserved tiers as low as $2.14–$3. Recent index data showed neocloud B200 pricing rising 22% over the prior quarter, defying typical post-launch easing patterns. Limited new capacity entering the market by late May, combined with sustained inference and model-development needs, supported elevated trader-implied odds around current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include further TSMC Blackwell ramps and any hyperscaler capacity releases that could alter the balance into Q3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$33,085 Vol.
May 31, 2026
↑ $6.00
Yes
↑ $6.50
No
↑ $5.50
Yes
↑ $5.75
Yes
↑ $5.00
Yes
↑ $4.75
Yes
↑ $4.60
Yes
↑ $4.50
Yes
↓ $4.40
Yes
↓ $4.30
Yes
↓ $4.20
Yes
↓ $4.10
Yes
↓ $4.00
Yes
↓ $5.00
No
↓ $4.75
No
↓ $4.50
No
↓ $4.25
No
↓ $3.00
No
↓ $3.75
No
↓ $4.00
No
↓ $3.50
No
$33,085 Vol.
↑ $6.00
$1,068 Vol.
Yes
↑ $6.50
$1,463 Vol.
No
↑ $5.50
$778 Vol.
Yes
↑ $5.75
$1,047 Vol.
Yes
↑ $5.00
$305 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4.75
$6,751 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4.60
$3,924 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4.50
$517 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4.40
$452 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4.30
$2,647 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4.20
$545 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4.10
$559 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4.00
$357 Vol.
Yes
↓ $5.00
$1,688 Vol.
No
↓ $4.75
$1,692 Vol.
No
↓ $4.50
$2,061 Vol.
No
↓ $4.25
$617 Vol.
No
↓ $3.00
$2,228 Vol.
No
↓ $3.75
$1,549 Vol.
No
↓ $4.00
$837 Vol.
No
↓ $3.50
$2,000 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Strong AI demand from hyperscalers and enterprise training workloads has kept NVIDIA B200 supply constrained through May 2026, with industry backlogs estimated near 3.6 million units and production allocations largely committed into mid-year. Cloud rental rates reflected this tightness, spanning roughly $2.25–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with on-demand averages near $5–$6 and spot or reserved tiers as low as $2.14–$3. Recent index data showed neocloud B200 pricing rising 22% over the prior quarter, defying typical post-launch easing patterns. Limited new capacity entering the market by late May, combined with sustained inference and model-development needs, supported elevated trader-implied odds around current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include further TSMC Blackwell ramps and any hyperscaler capacity releases that could alter the balance into Q3.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$33,085End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Strong AI demand from hyperscalers and enterprise training workloads has kept NVIDIA B200 supply constrained through May 2026, with industry backlogs estimated near 3.6 million units and production allocations largely committed into mid-year. Cloud rental rates reflected this tightness, spanning roughly $2.25–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with on-demand averages near $5–$6 and spot or reserved tiers as low as $2.14–$3. Recent index data showed neocloud B200 pricing rising 22% over the prior quarter, defying typical post-launch easing patterns. Limited new capacity entering the market by late May, combined with sustained inference and model-development needs, supported elevated trader-implied odds around current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include further TSMC Blackwell ramps and any hyperscaler capacity releases that could alter the balance into Q3.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$33,085End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Strong AI demand from hyperscalers and enterprise training workloads has kept NVIDIA B200 supply constrained through May 2026, with industry backlogs estimated near 3.6 million units and production allocations largely committed into mid-year. Cloud rental rates reflected this tightness, spanning roughly $2.25–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with on-demand averages near $5–$6 and spot or reserved tiers as low as $2.14–$3. Recent index data showed neocloud B200 pricing rising 22% over the prior quarter, defying typical post-launch easing patterns. Limited new capacity entering the market by late May, combined with sustained inference and model-development needs, supported elevated trader-implied odds around current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include further TSMC Blackwell ramps and any hyperscaler capacity releases that could alter the balance into Q3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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