Model consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF runs drives the narrow lead for 84-85°F (28.5%) over 82-83°F (22%), as a robust high-pressure ridge funnels warm, moist southerly flow into Atlanta ahead of peak solar heating on March 22. National Weather Service forecasts pinpoint 83-85°F under mostly clear skies, with urban heat island amplification pushing toward the higher bin, while 86-87°F (15.5%) lags due to potential afternoon cumulus clouds or weak sea-breeze moderation capping extremes. Diurnal temperature swings and slight model spread—ECMWF warmer aloft—underscore uncertainty, contrasting sharply with March climatology averaging 65-67°F highs. Traders eye evening updates for front timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 28%
82-83°F 21%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 10%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 28%
82-83°F 21%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 10%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF runs drives the narrow lead for 84-85°F (28.5%) over 82-83°F (22%), as a robust high-pressure ridge funnels warm, moist southerly flow into Atlanta ahead of peak solar heating on March 22. National Weather Service forecasts pinpoint 83-85°F under mostly clear skies, with urban heat island amplification pushing toward the higher bin, while 86-87°F (15.5%) lags due to potential afternoon cumulus clouds or weak sea-breeze moderation capping extremes. Diurnal temperature swings and slight model spread—ECMWF warmer aloft—underscore uncertainty, contrasting sharply with March climatology averaging 65-67°F highs. Traders eye evening updates for front timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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