National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 23?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 Vol.
$108,872 Vol.
Apr 23, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 Vol.
$108,872 Vol.
Apr 23, 2026
51°F or below
$3,814 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$5,045 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,301 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$5,220 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$3,429 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,742 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,288 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,991 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$7,072 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$12,297 Vol.
No
70°F or higher
$56,671 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$108,872End Date
Apr 23, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$108,872End Date
Apr 23, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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