Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on July 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 5?
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 30%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 5, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 30%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 5, 2026
87°F or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$773 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$655 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$435 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$2,862 Vol.
30%
98-99°F
$1,799 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$186 Vol.
16%
102-103°F
$61 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$555 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$9,858End Date
Jul 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,858End Date
Jul 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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