Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs near 32–34°C on June 25, 2026, amid a warming trend after scattered showers on June 23–24. Primary drivers include strengthening high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat island effects that can elevate maximum temperatures by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty from variable moisture and wind patterns that may enhance or suppress afternoon heating, while climatological June averages near 31°C provide context for the current setup. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread across 30–34°C bins, with upcoming 24–48 hour model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine peak readings ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on June 25?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$88,204 Vol.
$88,204 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$88,204 Vol.
$88,204 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
27°C or below
$2,871 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,032 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,245 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,933 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,517 Vol.
No
32°C
$24,495 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$17,513 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,621 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,152 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,263 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$5,563 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs near 32–34°C on June 25, 2026, amid a warming trend after scattered showers on June 23–24. Primary drivers include strengthening high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat island effects that can elevate maximum temperatures by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty from variable moisture and wind patterns that may enhance or suppress afternoon heating, while climatological June averages near 31°C provide context for the current setup. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread across 30–34°C bins, with upcoming 24–48 hour model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine peak readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$88,204End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs near 32–34°C on June 25, 2026, amid a warming trend after scattered showers on June 23–24. Primary drivers include strengthening high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat island effects that can elevate maximum temperatures by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty from variable moisture and wind patterns that may enhance or suppress afternoon heating, while climatological June averages near 31°C provide context for the current setup. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread across 30–34°C bins, with upcoming 24–48 hour model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine peak readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88,204End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs near 32–34°C on June 25, 2026, amid a warming trend after scattered showers on June 23–24. Primary drivers include strengthening high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat island effects that can elevate maximum temperatures by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty from variable moisture and wind patterns that may enhance or suppress afternoon heating, while climatological June averages near 31°C provide context for the current setup. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread across 30–34°C bins, with upcoming 24–48 hour model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine peak readings ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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