Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, driven by short-range forecast model ensembles from global systems like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance, projecting mild autumn conditions with peaks in this range. Early April has seen highs averaging 22–23°C amid decreasing seasonal trends—daily maxima drop from 23°C to 19°C historically—tempered by partial cloud cover, southerly sea breezes enhancing boundary layer cooling, and low-level temperature advection from cooler Atlantic influences. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon insolation and frontal timing, with 1–2°C spreads typical at 72-hour lead times. Updated SMN bulletins and 00Z model runs tomorrow will likely sharpen implied probabilities before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 6?
21°C 22%
19°C 21%
20°C 19%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
13%
19°C
21%
20°C
19%
21°C
22%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 22%
19°C 21%
20°C 19%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
14°C or below
$340 Vol.
1%
15°C
$127 Vol.
5%
16°C
$75 Vol.
4%
17°C
$83 Vol.
7%
18°C
$123 Vol.
13%
19°C
$91 Vol.
21%
20°C
$71 Vol.
19%
21°C
$148 Vol.
22%
22°C
$49 Vol.
12%
23°C
$88 Vol.
6%
24°C or higher
$414 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, driven by short-range forecast model ensembles from global systems like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance, projecting mild autumn conditions with peaks in this range. Early April has seen highs averaging 22–23°C amid decreasing seasonal trends—daily maxima drop from 23°C to 19°C historically—tempered by partial cloud cover, southerly sea breezes enhancing boundary layer cooling, and low-level temperature advection from cooler Atlantic influences. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon insolation and frontal timing, with 1–2°C spreads typical at 72-hour lead times. Updated SMN bulletins and 00Z model runs tomorrow will likely sharpen implied probabilities before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,607End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, driven by short-range forecast model ensembles from global systems like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance, projecting mild autumn conditions with peaks in this range. Early April has seen highs averaging 22–23°C amid decreasing seasonal trends—daily maxima drop from 23°C to 19°C historically—tempered by partial cloud cover, southerly sea breezes enhancing boundary layer cooling, and low-level temperature advection from cooler Atlantic influences. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon insolation and frontal timing, with 1–2°C spreads typical at 72-hour lead times. Updated SMN bulletins and 00Z model runs tomorrow will likely sharpen implied probabilities before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,607End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, driven by short-range forecast model ensembles from global systems like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance, projecting mild autumn conditions with peaks in this range. Early April has seen highs averaging 22–23°C amid decreasing seasonal trends—daily maxima drop from 23°C to 19°C historically—tempered by partial cloud cover, southerly sea breezes enhancing boundary layer cooling, and low-level temperature advection from cooler Atlantic influences. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon insolation and frontal timing, with 1–2°C spreads typical at 72-hour lead times. Updated SMN bulletins and 00Z model runs tomorrow will likely sharpen implied probabilities before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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