Official observations from Buenos Aires' primary meteorological station recorded a daily maximum of 14°C on May 22, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches long-term climatological norms for late autumn in the region, where typical highs range from 13–16°C amid cooling southerly flows and partly cloudy conditions. Model guidance in the preceding days had converged on this narrow band, with minimal spread among ensemble runs. Only a significant upward revision in verified station data or a shift to an alternate reporting site could realistically alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 22?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$101,633 Vol.
$101,633 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$101,633 Vol.
$101,633 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Buenos Aires' primary meteorological station recorded a daily maximum of 14°C on May 22, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches long-term climatological norms for late autumn in the region, where typical highs range from 13–16°C amid cooling southerly flows and partly cloudy conditions. Model guidance in the preceding days had converged on this narrow band, with minimal spread among ensemble runs. Only a significant upward revision in verified station data or a shift to an alternate reporting site could realistically alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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