Traders have converged on an 18°C high for Cape Town on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from regional models showing stable winter conditions with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming cold fronts or berg wind warming. June climatology supports this outcome, with typical daily maxima near 16–18°C and minimal day-to-day variability absent strong synoptic shifts. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance remain tightly clustered around this value through the afternoon peak. Only an unanticipated late-day change in wind direction or rapid cloud buildup could realistically alter the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 5?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 5?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$43,228 Vol.
$43,228 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$43,228 Vol.
$43,228 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
12°C or below
$7,025 Vol.
No
13°C
$361 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,531 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,348 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,031 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,583 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,049 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$3,391 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,383 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,480 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$6,047 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on an 18°C high for Cape Town on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from regional models showing stable winter conditions with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming cold fronts or berg wind warming. June climatology supports this outcome, with typical daily maxima near 16–18°C and minimal day-to-day variability absent strong synoptic shifts. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance remain tightly clustered around this value through the afternoon peak. Only an unanticipated late-day change in wind direction or rapid cloud buildup could realistically alter the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$43,228End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on an 18°C high for Cape Town on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from regional models showing stable winter conditions with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming cold fronts or berg wind warming. June climatology supports this outcome, with typical daily maxima near 16–18°C and minimal day-to-day variability absent strong synoptic shifts. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance remain tightly clustered around this value through the afternoon peak. Only an unanticipated late-day change in wind direction or rapid cloud buildup could realistically alter the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,228End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on an 18°C high for Cape Town on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from regional models showing stable winter conditions with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming cold fronts or berg wind warming. June climatology supports this outcome, with typical daily maxima near 16–18°C and minimal day-to-day variability absent strong synoptic shifts. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance remain tightly clustered around this value through the afternoon peak. Only an unanticipated late-day change in wind direction or rapid cloud buildup could realistically alter the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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