Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?
24°C 42%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
NEW
$41,278 Vol.
NEW
$41,278 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
42%
25°C
28%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 42%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
NEW
$41,278 Vol.
NEW
$41,278 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
17°C or below
$8,448 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,313 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,163 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,533 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,577 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,178 Vol.
8%
23°C
$2,515 Vol.
24%
24°C
$1,416 Vol.
42%
25°C
$2,349 Vol.
28%
26°C
$6,238 Vol.
4%
27°C or higher
$5,177 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$41,278End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,278End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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