Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 25?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,489 Vol.
$141,489 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,489 Vol.
$141,489 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
24°C or below
$1,928 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,136 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,151 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,263 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,320 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,377 Vol.
No
30°C
$35,491 Vol.
No
31°C
$36,682 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$15,130 Vol.
No
33°C
$16,197 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$6,814 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$141,489End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$141,489End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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