Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 4?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,798 Vol.
$88,798 Vol.
May 4, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,798 Vol.
$88,798 Vol.
May 4, 2026
22°C or below
$9,219 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,165 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,569 Vol.
No
25°C
$14,175 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,929 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,148 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,085 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$11,854 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,196 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,370 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,088 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$88,798End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$88,798End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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