National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high near 79°F today under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms and south winds at 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus toward 78-79°F at 46.5% implied probability. This aligns with the April 15 climatological normal of 76°F but reflects NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought conditions that favor warming. Cloud cover and precipitation risks limit upside potential beyond 80-81°F (24%), while historical analogs and model ensembles show low odds for cooler outcomes below 76°F. Hourly observational updates from Dallas Love Field through evening will refine actual peak temperature for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 24%
82°F or higher 9.4%
$45,290 Vol.
$45,290 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
24%
82°F or higher
9%
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 24%
82°F or higher 9.4%
$45,290 Vol.
$45,290 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
24%
82°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high near 79°F today under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms and south winds at 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus toward 78-79°F at 46.5% implied probability. This aligns with the April 15 climatological normal of 76°F but reflects NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought conditions that favor warming. Cloud cover and precipitation risks limit upside potential beyond 80-81°F (24%), while historical analogs and model ensembles show low odds for cooler outcomes below 76°F. Hourly observational updates from Dallas Love Field through evening will refine actual peak temperature for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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