Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
13°C 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 24%
12°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
17%
12°C
20%
13°C
29%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
16%
17°C or higher
16%
13°C 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 24%
12°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
7°C or below
$315 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
3%
9°C
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
5%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$5 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$4 Vol.
18%
16°C
$4 Vol.
16%
17°C or higher
$6 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$334End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$334End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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