Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Ankara's highest temperature on April 17, with 20°C (26%) and 21°C (22%) leading amid a cluster around 19–22°C, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) latest projection of a 21°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This follows a recent warming trend after cooler early-April highs near 15–17°C, exceeding climatological mid-month norms of 16–18°C amid a building high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow and daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show minor spread of 1–2°C due to cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, with AccuWeather aligning at 22°C. New MGM updates and 12z model runs tomorrow could refine the peak before resolution via official Ankara station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 32%
20°C 24%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
14%
20°C
26%
21°C
32%
22°C
16%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 32%
20°C 24%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
14%
20°C
26%
21°C
32%
22°C
16%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Ankara's highest temperature on April 17, with 20°C (26%) and 21°C (22%) leading amid a cluster around 19–22°C, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) latest projection of a 21°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This follows a recent warming trend after cooler early-April highs near 15–17°C, exceeding climatological mid-month norms of 16–18°C amid a building high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow and daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show minor spread of 1–2°C due to cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, with AccuWeather aligning at 22°C. New MGM updates and 12z model runs tomorrow could refine the peak before resolution via official Ankara station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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