Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 17, with 26°C (26%) edging 27°C (23.5%) amid divergent guidance from the China Meteorological Administration's 24°C cloudy projection and AccuWeather's 27°C partly sunny outlook. This split stems from recent spring warming trends—highs climbing from 20°C on April 11 and 22°C on April 14 to 21°C today—driven by a weakening low-pressure system yielding to northerly winds and variable cloud cover in the Yangtze basin's humid subtropical climate. Ensemble model spreads of 24-28°C highlight sensitivity to afternoon insolation and urban heat effects; watch CMA updates and ECMWF runs tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
27°C 33%
26°C 33%
28°C 14%
25°C 14%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
26°C 33%
28°C 14%
25°C 14%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 17, with 26°C (26%) edging 27°C (23.5%) amid divergent guidance from the China Meteorological Administration's 24°C cloudy projection and AccuWeather's 27°C partly sunny outlook. This split stems from recent spring warming trends—highs climbing from 20°C on April 11 and 22°C on April 14 to 21°C today—driven by a weakening low-pressure system yielding to northerly winds and variable cloud cover in the Yangtze basin's humid subtropical climate. Ensemble model spreads of 24-28°C highlight sensitivity to afternoon insolation and urban heat effects; watch CMA updates and ECMWF runs tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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