Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (32.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting uncertainty in light rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating under a weak frontal system, per China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting 26°C high amid light rain turning cloudy—yet discounted by traders due to recent observations like April 14's 24°C high and April 11's cooler 20°C under similar overcast skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation: prolonged low-level clouds limit solar radiation to cap peaks at 21°C, while partial clearing or lighter precipitation could boost boundary layer warming to 22°C or 23°C (17.5%). Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but current humid basin conditions favor moderation; monitor overnight CMA hourly updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles for shifts before resolution based on official Jiangbei station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
21°C 36%
22°C 35%
23°C 18%
20°C 8.2%
NEW
$23,400 Vol.
NEW
$23,400 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
36%
22°C
35%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 35%
23°C 18%
20°C 8.2%
NEW
$23,400 Vol.
NEW
$23,400 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
17°C or below
$6,020 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,566 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,669 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,383 Vol.
8%
21°C
$651 Vol.
36%
22°C
$548 Vol.
35%
23°C
$803 Vol.
18%
24°C
$960 Vol.
7%
25°C
$2,223 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,835 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$1,759 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (32.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting uncertainty in light rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating under a weak frontal system, per China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting 26°C high amid light rain turning cloudy—yet discounted by traders due to recent observations like April 14's 24°C high and April 11's cooler 20°C under similar overcast skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation: prolonged low-level clouds limit solar radiation to cap peaks at 21°C, while partial clearing or lighter precipitation could boost boundary layer warming to 22°C or 23°C (17.5%). Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but current humid basin conditions favor moderation; monitor overnight CMA hourly updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles for shifts before resolution based on official Jiangbei station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$23,400End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (32.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting uncertainty in light rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating under a weak frontal system, per China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting 26°C high amid light rain turning cloudy—yet discounted by traders due to recent observations like April 14's 24°C high and April 11's cooler 20°C under similar overcast skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation: prolonged low-level clouds limit solar radiation to cap peaks at 21°C, while partial clearing or lighter precipitation could boost boundary layer warming to 22°C or 23°C (17.5%). Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but current humid basin conditions favor moderation; monitor overnight CMA hourly updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles for shifts before resolution based on official Jiangbei station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,400End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (32.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting uncertainty in light rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating under a weak frontal system, per China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting 26°C high amid light rain turning cloudy—yet discounted by traders due to recent observations like April 14's 24°C high and April 11's cooler 20°C under similar overcast skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation: prolonged low-level clouds limit solar radiation to cap peaks at 21°C, while partial clearing or lighter precipitation could boost boundary layer warming to 22°C or 23°C (17.5%). Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but current humid basin conditions favor moderation; monitor overnight CMA hourly updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles for shifts before resolution based on official Jiangbei station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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