Latest numerical weather prediction models, including blended ensembles akin to GFS and ECMWF outputs, show a consensus high temperature near 24°C for Chengdu on April 14, aligning with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26°C at 37–39%. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and early showers—common in the Chengdu Basin during mid-spring due to moist southerly flow—cap solar insolation and limit daytime heating, differentiating outcomes by potential cloud breaks or added precipitation that could suppress peaks to 23°C or boost to 26°C under partial clearing. This matches recent overcast days with highs of 23–25°C and mid-April climatological averages of 23°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 14?
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 14, 2026
21°C or below
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
18%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 14, 2026
21°C or below
$53 Vol.
7%
22°C
$29 Vol.
9%
23°C
$52 Vol.
11%
24°C
$36 Vol.
30%
25°C
$36 Vol.
31%
26°C
$22 Vol.
18%
27°C
$12 Vol.
9%
28°C
$12 Vol.
8%
29°C
$12 Vol.
7%
30°C
$12 Vol.
6%
31°C or higher
$80 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including blended ensembles akin to GFS and ECMWF outputs, show a consensus high temperature near 24°C for Chengdu on April 14, aligning with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26°C at 37–39%. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and early showers—common in the Chengdu Basin during mid-spring due to moist southerly flow—cap solar insolation and limit daytime heating, differentiating outcomes by potential cloud breaks or added precipitation that could suppress peaks to 23°C or boost to 26°C under partial clearing. This matches recent overcast days with highs of 23–25°C and mid-April climatological averages of 23°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$353End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including blended ensembles akin to GFS and ECMWF outputs, show a consensus high temperature near 24°C for Chengdu on April 14, aligning with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26°C at 37–39%. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and early showers—common in the Chengdu Basin during mid-spring due to moist southerly flow—cap solar insolation and limit daytime heating, differentiating outcomes by potential cloud breaks or added precipitation that could suppress peaks to 23°C or boost to 26°C under partial clearing. This matches recent overcast days with highs of 23–25°C and mid-April climatological averages of 23°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$353End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including blended ensembles akin to GFS and ECMWF outputs, show a consensus high temperature near 24°C for Chengdu on April 14, aligning with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26°C at 37–39%. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and early showers—common in the Chengdu Basin during mid-spring due to moist southerly flow—cap solar insolation and limit daytime heating, differentiating outcomes by potential cloud breaks or added precipitation that could suppress peaks to 23°C or boost to 26°C under partial clearing. This matches recent overcast days with highs of 23–25°C and mid-April climatological averages of 23°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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