National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project a high temperature of 72-77°F in Denver on April 12 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and building upper-level ridge, yielding a 98.8% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher as traders align with this strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This follows a warm-up after early April's cold front and flooding remnants, with climatological norms around 61°F but recent days already hitting 77°F amid reduced cloud cover and enhanced solar heating at this elevation. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in convective showers or persistent mid-level clouds capping daytime heating, though low-level moisture scarcity minimizes such risks; monitor hourly DIA observations and NWS updates resolving post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 12?
68°F or higher 98.8%
66-67°F <1%
49°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
$26,037 Vol.
$26,037 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
99%
68°F or higher 98.8%
66-67°F <1%
49°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
$26,037 Vol.
$26,037 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project a high temperature of 72-77°F in Denver on April 12 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and building upper-level ridge, yielding a 98.8% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher as traders align with this strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This follows a warm-up after early April's cold front and flooding remnants, with climatological norms around 61°F but recent days already hitting 77°F amid reduced cloud cover and enhanced solar heating at this elevation. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in convective showers or persistent mid-level clouds capping daytime heating, though low-level moisture scarcity minimizes such risks; monitor hourly DIA observations and NWS updates resolving post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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