Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models project Seoul's highest temperature on April 12 near 18°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (22%) and 19°C (18.5%) as leading outcomes amid clustered probabilities for 17–20°C. This reflects a mild spring warming trend following early April's cooler highs of 12–15°C, influenced by high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, though uncertainty persists from potential frontal timing shifts that could increase cloud cover and suppress peaks below 17°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 20°C. Historical April climatology averages 17–18°C highs at Incheon International Airport station, the market's resolution source; watch KMA's next 11 AM update for refined model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 12?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 12?
18°C 25%
19°C 16%
17°C 15%
20°C 13%
$130,395 Vol.
$130,395 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
14°C or below
8%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
15%
18°C
25%
19°C
16%
20°C
13%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 25%
19°C 16%
17°C 15%
20°C 13%
$130,395 Vol.
$130,395 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
14°C or below
$22,730 Vol.
8%
15°C
$17,291 Vol.
4%
16°C
$10,881 Vol.
12%
17°C
$7,192 Vol.
15%
18°C
$6,312 Vol.
25%
19°C
$8,664 Vol.
16%
20°C
$7,005 Vol.
13%
21°C
$11,796 Vol.
9%
22°C
$14,263 Vol.
8%
23°C
$10,652 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$14,039 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models project Seoul's highest temperature on April 12 near 18°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (22%) and 19°C (18.5%) as leading outcomes amid clustered probabilities for 17–20°C. This reflects a mild spring warming trend following early April's cooler highs of 12–15°C, influenced by high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, though uncertainty persists from potential frontal timing shifts that could increase cloud cover and suppress peaks below 17°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 20°C. Historical April climatology averages 17–18°C highs at Incheon International Airport station, the market's resolution source; watch KMA's next 11 AM update for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$130,395End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models project Seoul's highest temperature on April 12 near 18°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (22%) and 19°C (18.5%) as leading outcomes amid clustered probabilities for 17–20°C. This reflects a mild spring warming trend following early April's cooler highs of 12–15°C, influenced by high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, though uncertainty persists from potential frontal timing shifts that could increase cloud cover and suppress peaks below 17°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 20°C. Historical April climatology averages 17–18°C highs at Incheon International Airport station, the market's resolution source; watch KMA's next 11 AM update for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$130,395End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models project Seoul's highest temperature on April 12 near 18°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (22%) and 19°C (18.5%) as leading outcomes amid clustered probabilities for 17–20°C. This reflects a mild spring warming trend following early April's cooler highs of 12–15°C, influenced by high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, though uncertainty persists from potential frontal timing shifts that could increase cloud cover and suppress peaks below 17°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 20°C. Historical April climatology averages 17–18°C highs at Incheon International Airport station, the market's resolution source; watch KMA's next 11 AM update for refined model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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