India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts have driven near-unanimous trader consensus on a 35°C peak for Lucknow on April 11 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, the market's resolution station. Clear skies and strong daytime winds—following unseasonal rains that capped prior highs at 32.1°C on April 10—have enabled a rebound to this level, matching seasonal norms amid above-average solar insolation in early April. Hourly data likely confirm the peak already occurred around midday, with declining solar angles and persistent winds now suppressing further rises. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 36°C under prolonged sunshine or post hoc data revisions, though model consensus and historical airport records make this improbable; final IMD bulletin expected end-of-day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 11?
35°C 99.4%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$101,157 Vol.
$101,157 Vol.
35°C
99%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.4%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$101,157 Vol.
$101,157 Vol.
35°C
99%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts have driven near-unanimous trader consensus on a 35°C peak for Lucknow on April 11 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, the market's resolution station. Clear skies and strong daytime winds—following unseasonal rains that capped prior highs at 32.1°C on April 10—have enabled a rebound to this level, matching seasonal norms amid above-average solar insolation in early April. Hourly data likely confirm the peak already occurred around midday, with declining solar angles and persistent winds now suppressing further rises. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 36°C under prolonged sunshine or post hoc data revisions, though model consensus and historical airport records make this improbable; final IMD bulletin expected end-of-day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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