India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts pinpoint a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on April 13 under clear sky conditions, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on that outcome and 23% for 37°C. This positioning reflects a sharp rebound from recent cool anomalies—35.3°C maximum on April 11 (2.9°C below normal) and 32.1°C on April 10—amid IMD warnings of a 6-8°C rise across Uttar Pradesh plains through mid-April due to dry weather, strong surface winds (25-35 kmph), and intense solar heating in the pre-monsoon season. Persistent dry forecasts till April 16 bolster the 35-37°C cluster (84% combined), though minor cloud intrusions could temper peaks; watch IMD's next bulletin on April 12 for model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
36°C 45%
37°C 22%
35°C 19%
34°C or below 12%
34°C or below
12%
35°C
19%
36°C
45%
37°C
22%
38°C
7%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 22%
35°C 19%
34°C or below 12%
34°C or below
12%
35°C
19%
36°C
45%
37°C
22%
38°C
7%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts pinpoint a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on April 13 under clear sky conditions, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on that outcome and 23% for 37°C. This positioning reflects a sharp rebound from recent cool anomalies—35.3°C maximum on April 11 (2.9°C below normal) and 32.1°C on April 10—amid IMD warnings of a 6-8°C rise across Uttar Pradesh plains through mid-April due to dry weather, strong surface winds (25-35 kmph), and intense solar heating in the pre-monsoon season. Persistent dry forecasts till April 16 bolster the 35-37°C cluster (84% combined), though minor cloud intrusions could temper peaks; watch IMD's next bulletin on April 12 for model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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