AEMET's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 25°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeast winds at 20 km/h, and abundant solar heating—driving the 77.5% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher. This reflects trader consensus on persistent warmth following April 9's observed 28°C peak and early April's cooler, rainy reversal, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles aligning on mid-20s highs around midday. April climatological averages hover at 17–19°C, underscoring the anomaly from zonal flow favoring advection of continental air. Low 20% precipitation risk introduces minor uncertainty for afternoon capping, but real-time Barajas observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
23°C or higher 73.3%
22°C 19.6%
21°C 8.5%
20°C <1%
$77,774 Vol.
$77,774 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
20°C
<1%
21°C
8%
22°C
20%
23°C or higher
73%
23°C or higher 73.3%
22°C 19.6%
21°C 8.5%
20°C <1%
$77,774 Vol.
$77,774 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
20°C
$6,353 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$18,401 Vol.
8%
22°C
$8,707 Vol.
20%
23°C or higher
$17,120 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 25°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeast winds at 20 km/h, and abundant solar heating—driving the 77.5% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher. This reflects trader consensus on persistent warmth following April 9's observed 28°C peak and early April's cooler, rainy reversal, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles aligning on mid-20s highs around midday. April climatological averages hover at 17–19°C, underscoring the anomaly from zonal flow favoring advection of continental air. Low 20% precipitation risk introduces minor uncertainty for afternoon capping, but real-time Barajas observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Volume
$77,774End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 25°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeast winds at 20 km/h, and abundant solar heating—driving the 77.5% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher. This reflects trader consensus on persistent warmth following April 9's observed 28°C peak and early April's cooler, rainy reversal, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles aligning on mid-20s highs around midday. April climatological averages hover at 17–19°C, underscoring the anomaly from zonal flow favoring advection of continental air. Low 20% precipitation risk introduces minor uncertainty for afternoon capping, but real-time Barajas observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,774End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
AEMET's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 25°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, under a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeast winds at 20 km/h, and abundant solar heating—driving the 77.5% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher. This reflects trader consensus on persistent warmth following April 9's observed 28°C peak and early April's cooler, rainy reversal, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles aligning on mid-20s highs around midday. April climatological averages hover at 17–19°C, underscoring the anomaly from zonal flow favoring advection of continental air. Low 20% precipitation risk introduces minor uncertainty for afternoon capping, but real-time Barajas observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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