Trader consensus on a 33°C high temperature in Taipei today reflects Central Weather Administration (CWA) short-range model guidance and intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station, where readings reached 31.1°C under clear skies by late afternoon. A persistent high-pressure ridge has suppressed clouds and winds, enabling above-normal solar heating—April historical averages hover around 25°C—while light southwest breezes and low humidity amplify peak potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning exceeds 99% implied probability for 33°C, backed by radiative forcing in urban heat island conditions. Realistic challenges include the 30% chance of afternoon showers cooling surfaces or capping ascent, with final CWA daily maximum report resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$151,048 Vol.
$151,048 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$151,048 Vol.
$151,048 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
33°C
$29,909 Vol.
100%
34°C
$14,373 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$14,511 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$14,817 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 33°C high temperature in Taipei today reflects Central Weather Administration (CWA) short-range model guidance and intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station, where readings reached 31.1°C under clear skies by late afternoon. A persistent high-pressure ridge has suppressed clouds and winds, enabling above-normal solar heating—April historical averages hover around 25°C—while light southwest breezes and low humidity amplify peak potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning exceeds 99% implied probability for 33°C, backed by radiative forcing in urban heat island conditions. Realistic challenges include the 30% chance of afternoon showers cooling surfaces or capping ascent, with final CWA daily maximum report resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volume
$151,048End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 33°C high temperature in Taipei today reflects Central Weather Administration (CWA) short-range model guidance and intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station, where readings reached 31.1°C under clear skies by late afternoon. A persistent high-pressure ridge has suppressed clouds and winds, enabling above-normal solar heating—April historical averages hover around 25°C—while light southwest breezes and low humidity amplify peak potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning exceeds 99% implied probability for 33°C, backed by radiative forcing in urban heat island conditions. Realistic challenges include the 30% chance of afternoon showers cooling surfaces or capping ascent, with final CWA daily maximum report resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$151,048End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 33°C high temperature in Taipei today reflects Central Weather Administration (CWA) short-range model guidance and intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station, where readings reached 31.1°C under clear skies by late afternoon. A persistent high-pressure ridge has suppressed clouds and winds, enabling above-normal solar heating—April historical averages hover around 25°C—while light southwest breezes and low humidity amplify peak potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning exceeds 99% implied probability for 33°C, backed by radiative forcing in urban heat island conditions. Realistic challenges include the 30% chance of afternoon showers cooling surfaces or capping ascent, with final CWA daily maximum report resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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