Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
22°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,890 Vol.
$134,890 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,890 Vol.
$134,890 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
21°C
$23,466 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$12,308 Vol.
100%
23°C
$6,759 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$8,720 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$134,890End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$134,890End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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