Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 22°C (48%) or 21°C (33.5%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which converge on a daytime high near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Recent observational data from April 10–11 confirm highs around 21–22°C amid stable high-pressure influence over the eastern Mediterranean, moderating spring warmth typical of Tel Aviv's coastal location where sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal shifts, with ensemble spreads of ±1°C reflecting low uncertainty; final resolution hinges on IMS station measurements at official sites like Tel Aviv Port, with overnight updates potentially influencing late trading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
22°C 49%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 11%
20°C 9.9%
$18,354 Vol.
$18,354 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
33%
22°C
49%
23°C or higher
11%
22°C 49%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 11%
20°C 9.9%
$18,354 Vol.
$18,354 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
13°C or below
$941 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,958 Vol.
1%
15°C
$737 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,018 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,036 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,381 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,516 Vol.
10%
21°C
$1,483 Vol.
33%
22°C
$1,820 Vol.
49%
23°C or higher
$3,644 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 22°C (48%) or 21°C (33.5%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which converge on a daytime high near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Recent observational data from April 10–11 confirm highs around 21–22°C amid stable high-pressure influence over the eastern Mediterranean, moderating spring warmth typical of Tel Aviv's coastal location where sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal shifts, with ensemble spreads of ±1°C reflecting low uncertainty; final resolution hinges on IMS station measurements at official sites like Tel Aviv Port, with overnight updates potentially influencing late trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,354End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 22°C (48%) or 21°C (33.5%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which converge on a daytime high near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Recent observational data from April 10–11 confirm highs around 21–22°C amid stable high-pressure influence over the eastern Mediterranean, moderating spring warmth typical of Tel Aviv's coastal location where sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal shifts, with ensemble spreads of ±1°C reflecting low uncertainty; final resolution hinges on IMS station measurements at official sites like Tel Aviv Port, with overnight updates potentially influencing late trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,354End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 22°C (48%) or 21°C (33.5%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which converge on a daytime high near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Recent observational data from April 10–11 confirm highs around 21–22°C amid stable high-pressure influence over the eastern Mediterranean, moderating spring warmth typical of Tel Aviv's coastal location where sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal shifts, with ensemble spreads of ±1°C reflecting low uncertainty; final resolution hinges on IMS station measurements at official sites like Tel Aviv Port, with overnight updates potentially influencing late trading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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