Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C today, driven by the latest National Center of Meteorology guidance and AccuWeather forecasts pinpointing a peak near 32°C amid persistent hazy conditions and northwest winds at 10-20 mph. These northerly flows from cooler continental air, combined with dust-laden haze reducing solar insolation, suppress daytime heating below the April climatological average of 34°C, as observed in morning temperatures hovering around 29-30°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Model ensembles show limited intensification potential through mid-afternoon peak hours, with 33°C viable if haze thins (35% odds) but 34°C+ unlikely (5%) barring unexpected clearing; official GAMEP observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 11?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 11?
34°C or higher 2.0%
33°C 1.5%
32°C 0
$11,531 Vol.
$11,531 Vol.
32°C
63%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
34°C or higher 2.0%
33°C 1.5%
32°C 0
$11,531 Vol.
$11,531 Vol.
32°C
63%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C today, driven by the latest National Center of Meteorology guidance and AccuWeather forecasts pinpointing a peak near 32°C amid persistent hazy conditions and northwest winds at 10-20 mph. These northerly flows from cooler continental air, combined with dust-laden haze reducing solar insolation, suppress daytime heating below the April climatological average of 34°C, as observed in morning temperatures hovering around 29-30°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Model ensembles show limited intensification potential through mid-afternoon peak hours, with 33°C viable if haze thins (35% odds) but 34°C+ unlikely (5%) barring unexpected clearing; official GAMEP observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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