Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (99.7% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime high of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with light fog, corroborated by real-time observations at Bao'an International Airport and other stations showing peaks near 27–28°C amid 80–90% humidity curbing further warming. High cloud cover limits solar insolation, aligning with historical April patterns where averages hover around 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include afternoon clearing boosting shortwave radiation for a 29°C spike, or isolated showers suppressing the max below 28°C; hourly station data will finalize resolution via Wunderground aggregates by midnight UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$156,587 Vol.
$156,587 Vol.
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$156,587 Vol.
$156,587 Vol.
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (99.7% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime high of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with light fog, corroborated by real-time observations at Bao'an International Airport and other stations showing peaks near 27–28°C amid 80–90% humidity curbing further warming. High cloud cover limits solar insolation, aligning with historical April patterns where averages hover around 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include afternoon clearing boosting shortwave radiation for a 29°C spike, or isolated showers suppressing the max below 28°C; hourly station data will finalize resolution via Wunderground aggregates by midnight UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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