Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 29°C (32.5% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13, driven by a persistent warm spell with recent highs of 29°C under partly clear skies on April 6, contrasting 26–27°C during overcast conditions April 7–8, as measured at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. China Meteorological Administration forecasts for April 12 indicate cloudy skies with a 29°C high, suggesting southerly winds and above-average insolation could sustain warmth beyond the 26°C April climatological norm, though model discrepancies and cloud cover introduce substantial uncertainty, dispersing probabilities across 27–31°C outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud development reducing solar heating, humidity-driven convective showers, and wind shifts; monitor CMA hourly updates for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
29°C 31%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 12.7%
$20,481 Vol.
$20,481 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
13%
28°C
22%
29°C
31%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 12.7%
$20,481 Vol.
$20,481 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
13%
28°C
22%
29°C
31%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 29°C (32.5% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13, driven by a persistent warm spell with recent highs of 29°C under partly clear skies on April 6, contrasting 26–27°C during overcast conditions April 7–8, as measured at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. China Meteorological Administration forecasts for April 12 indicate cloudy skies with a 29°C high, suggesting southerly winds and above-average insolation could sustain warmth beyond the 26°C April climatological norm, though model discrepancies and cloud cover introduce substantial uncertainty, dispersing probabilities across 27–31°C outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud development reducing solar heating, humidity-driven convective showers, and wind shifts; monitor CMA hourly updates for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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