Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) in Munich today, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks around 13-14°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated model runs have introduced slightly cooler trends from a weak frontal system advancing across southern Germany, capping daytime warming despite mild southerly flows. Historical April highs at Munich Airport average 13°C, providing baseline context, while current atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity and low-level clouds—align with the 27% implied probability for 14°C and suppress odds for 15°C or higher (9%). Real-time observations from the station will confirm the peak as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
13°C 40%
14°C 27%
12°C 19.1%
15°C or higher 9%
$102,107 Vol.
$102,107 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
19%
13°C
40%
14°C
27%
15°C or higher
9%
13°C 40%
14°C 27%
12°C 19.1%
15°C or higher 9%
$102,107 Vol.
$102,107 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
10°C
$18,908 Vol.
2%
11°C
$15,618 Vol.
6%
12°C
$8,973 Vol.
19%
13°C
$4,843 Vol.
40%
14°C
$5,291 Vol.
27%
15°C or higher
$11,219 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) in Munich today, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks around 13-14°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated model runs have introduced slightly cooler trends from a weak frontal system advancing across southern Germany, capping daytime warming despite mild southerly flows. Historical April highs at Munich Airport average 13°C, providing baseline context, while current atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity and low-level clouds—align with the 27% implied probability for 14°C and suppress odds for 15°C or higher (9%). Real-time observations from the station will confirm the peak as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$102,107End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) in Munich today, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks around 13-14°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated model runs have introduced slightly cooler trends from a weak frontal system advancing across southern Germany, capping daytime warming despite mild southerly flows. Historical April highs at Munich Airport average 13°C, providing baseline context, while current atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity and low-level clouds—align with the 27% implied probability for 14°C and suppress odds for 15°C or higher (9%). Real-time observations from the station will confirm the peak as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,107End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) in Munich today, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks around 13-14°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated model runs have introduced slightly cooler trends from a weak frontal system advancing across southern Germany, capping daytime warming despite mild southerly flows. Historical April highs at Munich Airport average 13°C, providing baseline context, while current atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity and low-level clouds—align with the 27% implied probability for 14°C and suppress odds for 15°C or higher (9%). Real-time observations from the station will confirm the peak as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions