Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 13, with 21°C leading at 31.5% implied probability amid forecasts of moderate rain transitioning to light showers per China Meteorological Administration updates. Recent cooling from earlier highs near 27°C on April 10—driven by a frontal system increasing cloud cover and precipitation—has suppressed diurnal heating, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 22–23°C averages. Differing model runs show patchy rain potentially capping peaks at 20–21°C (easeweather: 21°C high, 14.9 mm rain) versus partial clearing allowing 22°C (some sources), with resolution hinging on morning cloud evolution and afternoon insolation; watch CMA briefings and real-time METAR observations today for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
21°C 32%
20°C 26%
22°C 24%
23°C 12%
$11,572 Vol.
$11,572 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
26%
21°C
32%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 32%
20°C 26%
22°C 24%
23°C 12%
$11,572 Vol.
$11,572 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
26%
21°C
32%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 13, with 21°C leading at 31.5% implied probability amid forecasts of moderate rain transitioning to light showers per China Meteorological Administration updates. Recent cooling from earlier highs near 27°C on April 10—driven by a frontal system increasing cloud cover and precipitation—has suppressed diurnal heating, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 22–23°C averages. Differing model runs show patchy rain potentially capping peaks at 20–21°C (easeweather: 21°C high, 14.9 mm rain) versus partial clearing allowing 22°C (some sources), with resolution hinging on morning cloud evolution and afternoon insolation; watch CMA briefings and real-time METAR observations today for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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