Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 12, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering around 23-25°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and convective heating, differentiating outcomes by marginal cloud cover variations—thicker decks favor 23°C, while brief clearings could push toward 24-25°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance echoes this, projecting highs near 24°C with northeasterly winds under 12 km/h. April climatology averages 23°C highs, but short-range model uncertainty persists until hourly observations confirm the peak amid light rain risks; expect volatility until resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
24°C 34%
23°C 30%
22°C 17%
25°C 13.1%
$20,880 Vol.
$20,880 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
9%
22°C
17%
23°C
30%
24°C
34%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
23°C 30%
22°C 17%
25°C 13.1%
$20,880 Vol.
$20,880 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
9%
22°C
17%
23°C
30%
24°C
34%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 12, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering around 23-25°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and convective heating, differentiating outcomes by marginal cloud cover variations—thicker decks favor 23°C, while brief clearings could push toward 24-25°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance echoes this, projecting highs near 24°C with northeasterly winds under 12 km/h. April climatology averages 23°C highs, but short-range model uncertainty persists until hourly observations confirm the peak amid light rain risks; expect volatility until resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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