National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) today under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeast winds of 11-15 mph, channeling cooler Atlantic air masses onshore following a recent cool winter pattern—the region's chilliest since 2010-11. This setup favors the 78-79°F outcome at 48.5% market-implied odds, but traders split closely with 80-81°F at 43.0% due to model ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar heating around 2-4 PM EDT, where reduced winds or minor cloud breaks could nudge peaks higher. Hourly observations from NOAA stations will refine intraday trajectories, with historical April averages near 82°F providing climatological context amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 11?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 11?
78-79°F 54%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 2.9%
84-85°F <1%
$80,090 Vol.
$80,090 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 54%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 2.9%
84-85°F <1%
$80,090 Vol.
$80,090 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
73°F or below
$14,456 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$14,309 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$5,233 Vol.
54%
80-81°F
$6,537 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$8,420 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$3,675 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,847 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,462 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$1,925 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) today under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeast winds of 11-15 mph, channeling cooler Atlantic air masses onshore following a recent cool winter pattern—the region's chilliest since 2010-11. This setup favors the 78-79°F outcome at 48.5% market-implied odds, but traders split closely with 80-81°F at 43.0% due to model ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar heating around 2-4 PM EDT, where reduced winds or minor cloud breaks could nudge peaks higher. Hourly observations from NOAA stations will refine intraday trajectories, with historical April averages near 82°F providing climatological context amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$80,090End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) today under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeast winds of 11-15 mph, channeling cooler Atlantic air masses onshore following a recent cool winter pattern—the region's chilliest since 2010-11. This setup favors the 78-79°F outcome at 48.5% market-implied odds, but traders split closely with 80-81°F at 43.0% due to model ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar heating around 2-4 PM EDT, where reduced winds or minor cloud breaks could nudge peaks higher. Hourly observations from NOAA stations will refine intraday trajectories, with historical April averages near 82°F providing climatological context amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$80,090End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) today under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeast winds of 11-15 mph, channeling cooler Atlantic air masses onshore following a recent cool winter pattern—the region's chilliest since 2010-11. This setup favors the 78-79°F outcome at 48.5% market-implied odds, but traders split closely with 80-81°F at 43.0% due to model ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar heating around 2-4 PM EDT, where reduced winds or minor cloud breaks could nudge peaks higher. Hourly observations from NOAA stations will refine intraday trajectories, with historical April averages near 82°F providing climatological context amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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